Sunday, 20 May 2012

Gold stocks "shooting fish in a barrel"

There is no reason to own gold stocks. Run by poor managers, who don't believe in their product, in countries all too eager to get their hands on more taxation. and yet that is a definition of a bottom...total disdain.

This chart from Morris Hubbartt...shows sentiment at rock bottom...

http://www.superforcesignals.com/images/stories/folder8/rydexpreciousmetalsmay18.jpg

May not be "shooting fish in a barrel" but the huge out performance of gold v the xau, will revert at some point...hopefully in the next 4 weeks...gold stocks can then take off!!..with a double fro here over the next 18 months!

ps - for full disclosure, I didn't see this sort of correction coming!....not with Gold at $1,600USD! Ouch

Very volatie week ends with pollies meeting on Europe...we are saved

A G8 meeting was held overnight where officials took lovely photos and smiled for the cameras. Pronouncements of significance were missing...let's see how the markets react this week. Last week was not good!! Maybe it will take a Dow move of another 1,000 points to get pollies acting.

Barron's had a good piece from Ray Dalio...

http://online.barrons.com/article/SB50001424053111904370004577390023566415282.html#articleTabs_article%3D1

ps - he says keep 10% in gold!

ps2 - markets are oversold this week. One measure I use...share price falls made the weekend news.

ps3 - Soros increase his gold

ps4 - a Japanese fund initiated a gold position...hmmmmmm

Japanese Pension Fund Switches to Gold
By Ben McLannahan
Financial Times, London
Wednesday, May 16, 2012


http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/1be7a2a2-9f3f-11e1-a255-00144feabdc0.html

TOKYO -- Okayama Metal & Machinery has become the first Japanese pension fund to make public purchases of gold, in a sign of dwindling faith in paper currencies.
Initially, the fund aims to keep about 1.5 per cent of its total assets of Y40 billion ($500 million) in bullion-backed exchange-traded funds, according to chief investment officer Yoshisuke Kiguchi, who said he was diversifying into gold to "escape sovereign risk."

The move into a non-yielding asset comes as funds in the world's second-biggest pension market are under increasing pressure to meet promised payments, as domestic interest rates remain rooted near zero.

Sunday, 29 April 2012

Gold – Don’t blame the thermometer


When someone is sick we sometimes use a thermometer to take their temperature. A high reading indicating a possible infection. This can begin the process of finding the cause of the infection and treating it. Rarely do we question the reading, because the thermometer is good at noticing the temperature change. 


Gold is the thermometer of the fiat currency system. It is signalling it is not well. It needs to treated. Yet the majority, during gold’s ten year rise, continue to be perplexed or question’s it’s reading. A bubble. A nonsense. A barbarous relic. From the savvy to the novice. In a sense they cannot be blamed. Having known only this fiat money period, they see the world through this experience. A period seemingly normal. Reasonable. Average. Their experience defines their views. As it does all of us. But ask an Argentinian, a Zimbabwean, a Greek an Icelandic person. They are not as perplexed. They do not second guess the price of gold. They do question their own currency. Their experience now tells them to trust the thermometer.


Make no mistake, these moments in history do not end with a whimper. They end with a bang. Gold will rise until the correct course of action is taken. At an accelerating pace. Because, like the thermometer it will signal that treatment needs to be administered.


So as gold marches higher, the derision, the bubble calls will increase, because it is too negative to consider what it says about what they know, or they think they know. Until authorities (politicians and central bankers) make the difficult decisions to signal the value of our current money is safe and stable, confidence will continue to fall at an accelerating pace, and as it does, the thermometer will signal the illness of the patient. Those who care to stand back from their own experience, will understand the message of the thermometer. The patient is sick. Very sick. But most are questioning the thermometer.


Thursday, 26 April 2012

Jim Sinclair - Thankyou Sir


Jim saw ahead what few could see
He made predictions that were uncanny
And even if it meant some ridicule and glee
He gave his time to teach the many
He’s counselled wisely with each daily word
Taught lessons on markets, emotions and life
His message remained constant, there to be heard
“Protect yourself from the coming strife”
A mastery that few can attain
And a team of CIGA’s working around the clock
To allay the fear and the regular gut wrenching pain
“stay with the physical, the paper market is a crock”
And for some, the path from here may not be clear
But one thing is certain and it must be told
your patience, care and kindness, cannot be,
measured in any fiat currency or even gold.

Gold stocks - deeply sold off

The markets have a habit of teaching us things.

Who would have thought that gold could be at $1,650 and gold stocks would have fallen over 30% in the last 9 months.  Many measures say they are cheap as they have been for a decade.

Cashflows are better, but everyone hates them. Their time is coming. But beware the liars as Charles Dickens called the miners.

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2012/4/22_John_Hathaway_-_8_Key_Charts,_Gold,_Fed_%26_The_Big_Picture.html

Meanwhile the Central Banks are buyers of the barbarous relic...

Mexico added 16.8 metric tons of gold valued at about $906.4 million to its reserves in March as nations including Turkey, Russia and Kazakhstan increased their holdings of the metal, International Monetary Fund data show.
 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-24/mexico-raised-gold-reserves-in-march-imf-data-shows.html

Hiatus over...and so is the calm in the goldmarkets

Nothing has been fixed
QE to continue, else the debt in the system craters it.
Big corrections in gold and silver, compared to the equity markets, masks the coming storm!

Thursday, 8 September 2011